Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, post?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after (if it is precisely what your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.

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